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Why People Are So Confident When They're Wrong Why People Are So Confident When They're Wrong 25 λεπ The Jagermeister Pool of Death | Fascinating Horror Shorts The Jagermeister Pool of Death | Fascinating Horror Shorts 1 λεπ I spent $12,000 on the THINNEST Tech I spent $12,000 on the THINNEST Tech 25 λεπ TIMESINK TIMESINK 5 λεπ BLINK BLINK 3 λεπ The Unsolved Mystery of The Oakville Blobs | Fascinating Horror Shorts The Unsolved Mystery of The Oakville Blobs | Fascinating Horror Shorts 1 λεπ iPhone 18 Pro/Duo Impressions: Mogged iPhone 18 Pro/Duo Impressions: Mogged 18 λεπ Glass is glass Glass is glass 5 λεπ How Tech Companies Lie to You. How Tech Companies Lie to You. 25 λεπ $1 vs $100 LED Gadgets $1 vs $100 LED Gadgets 1 λεπ SEGA on QD-OLED SEGA on QD-OLED 10 λεπ This is the iPhone 18 Pro Max This is the iPhone 18 Pro Max 12 λεπ Exposing a Romance Scammer Exposing a Romance Scammer 25 λεπ Why OpenAI is calling for a ‘cyber defense surge.’ Plus: Find Evil! winners and TeamPCP losers Why OpenAI is calling for a ‘cyber defense surge.’ Plus: Find Evil! winners and TeamPCP losers 30 λεπ AI News: An INSANE Week… Here’s What Matters AI News: An INSANE Week… Here’s What Matters 31 λεπ How easy is it to steal $10,000 from a locked phone? How easy is it to steal $10,000 from a locked phone? 26 λεπ Why won’t AI agents just follow the rules? Why won’t AI agents just follow the rules? 36 λεπ Total Solar Eclipse from 92,000 Feet Total Solar Eclipse from 92,000 Feet 23 λεπ Wildlife Of Japan & China In 4K | BBC Earth Wildlife Of Japan & China In 4K | BBC Earth 42 λεπ We've Been Using The Wrong Science In Court For 50 years We've Been Using The Wrong Science In Court For 50 years 24 λεπ We Are Not Professionals We Are Not Professionals 2 λεπ We have no more excuses 😅😂 #AdobePartner @Adobe Video We have no more excuses 😅😂 #AdobePartner @Adobe Video 2 λεπ I Transformed My Body in 90 days. I Transformed My Body in 90 days. 20 λεπ Lightroom owns you Lightroom owns you 1 λεπ How to start journaling when you don't know what to write How to start journaling when you don't know what to write 22 λεπ What Happens If You Keep Slowing Down? What Happens If You Keep Slowing Down? 31 λεπ My Daughter's Emotional 16th BIRTHDAY SURPRISE My Daughter's Emotional 16th BIRTHDAY SURPRISE 36 λεπ Why The Taliban Are Begging The US To Come Back Why The Taliban Are Begging The US To Come Back 39 λεπ The vulnpocalypse might not be so bad after all The vulnpocalypse might not be so bad after all 34 λεπ I tested Dream Tech with my Biggest Fans! I tested Dream Tech with my Biggest Fans! 15 λεπ Mr Bean Takes Home the WRONG Baby! 😱 #mrbean #newmrbean2026 Mr Bean Takes Home the WRONG Baby! 😱 #mrbean #newmrbean2026 1 λεπ BETA SQUAD $10,000 CHALLENGE BETA SQUAD $10,000 CHALLENGE 26 λεπ This Fence Completely Humiliates Mr Bean 😂 #mrbean #newmrbean2026 This Fence Completely Humiliates Mr Bean 😂 #mrbean #newmrbean2026 1 λεπ I Promise you this is NOT Stupid I Promise you this is NOT Stupid 10 λεπ The Luna Ultra Just Got Better! (Big Firmware Update!) The Luna Ultra Just Got Better! (Big Firmware Update!) 9 λεπ I Cooled my PC with a SLUSHIE MACHINE I Cooled my PC with a SLUSHIE MACHINE 25 λεπ I Tried All The Best (and Worst) Doorbells I Tried All The Best (and Worst) Doorbells 18 λεπ YouTuber Merch Tier List YouTuber Merch Tier List 1 λεπ I put the NEWEST CPU in the OLDEST Motherboard I put the NEWEST CPU in the OLDEST Motherboard 14 λεπ Steam Frame Wireless Range Test Steam Frame Wireless Range Test 1 λεπ Fix a Flat Tire with a FLUKE Acoustic Imager! #technology #equipment #electronics Fix a Flat Tire with a FLUKE Acoustic Imager! #technology #equipment #electronics 1 λεπ 3 Things We Got Wrong About The Steam Machine 3 Things We Got Wrong About The Steam Machine 1 λεπ Welding with Salt Water #experiment #fake #funny Welding with Salt Water #experiment #fake #funny 2 λεπ The Small Difference Between Good and Bad Copywriting The Small Difference Between Good and Bad Copywriting 1 λεπ Defenders Must Adapt Fast💨 Defenders Must Adapt Fast💨 1 λεπ The Story Behind "The Day The Music Died" | Fascinating Horror The Story Behind "The Day The Music Died" | Fascinating Horror 12 λεπ Markiplier Just Proved Hollywood Still Doesn’t Get the Internet Markiplier Just Proved Hollywood Still Doesn’t Get the Internet 38 λεπ This 100-year-old ride must never change again. This 100-year-old ride must never change again. 17 λεπ Insta360 X6 vs Luna Ultra: Best Vlogging Camera? Insta360 X6 vs Luna Ultra: Best Vlogging Camera? 20 λεπ Kareem Addresses SubwayTakes Biggest Criticism Kareem Addresses SubwayTakes Biggest Criticism 1 λεπ Mount Wilshire: The Volcano That Almost Destroyed LA | Fascinating Horror Mount Wilshire: The Volcano That Almost Destroyed LA | Fascinating Horror 11 λεπ

Why People Are So Confident When They're Wrong

2025 25 λεπ

The problem with overconfidence. To help correct your overconfidence we have a tabletop game launching, Elements of Truth. You can pre-order the retail edition here: https://elementsoftruth.game/products/elements-of-truth If you’re looking for a molecular modelling kit, try Snatoms, a kit I invented where the atoms snap together magnetically - https://ve42.co/SnatomsV Sign up to the Veritasium newsletter for weekly science updates - https://ve42.co/Newsletter ▀▀▀ CHAPTERS: 0:00 The Most Dangerous Cognitive Bias 3:01 How confident are you that you are right? 7:40 Why are people overconfident? 8:53 The Real Dunning-Kruger Effect Graph 10:22 How Your Brain Takes Shortcuts 14:02 How overconfidence is good for you 15:55 Nick Leeson Rogue Trader 17:17 The Importance of Feedback 18:45 How One of England's Oldest Banks Collapsed 20:41 How To Correct Overconfidence ▀▀▀ A big thanks to Professor Moore and Professor Fischhoff Thank you to everyone who played the game with us @hankschannel, @fryrsquared, @NileRed , @astrumspace, @MinutePhysics and @LookingGlassUniverse ▀▀▀ References: https://ve42.co/OverconfidenceRefs ▀▀▀ Special thanks to our Patreon supporters: Adam Foreman, Albert Wenger, Alex Porter, Alexander Tamas, Anton Ragin, armedtoe, Bertrand Serlet, Blake Byers, Bruce, Dave Kircher, David Johnston, David Tseng, Evgeny Skvortsov, Garrett Mueller, Gnare, gpoly, Hayden Christensen, Ibby Hadeed, Jeromy Johnson, Jon Jamison, Juan Benet, KeyWestr, Kyi, Lee Redden, Marinus Kuivenhoven, Matthias Wrobel, Meekay, meg noah, Michael Bush, Michael Krugman, Orlando Bassotto, Paul Peijzel, Richard Sundvall, Robert Oliveira, Sam Lutfi, Tj Steyn, Ubiquity Ventures & wolfee ▀▀▀ Writers: Gabe Strong & Derek Muller Producer & Director: Gabe Strong Editor: Max Tobin Additional Editors: James Stuart, Peter Nelson and Jack Saxon Camera Operator: Casper Mebius and Gabe Strong Animators: Alex Drakoulis & Fabio Albertelli Illustrator: Jakub Misiek Researchers: Naomi Dinmore Additional researchers: Callum Cuttle Thumbnail Designers: Abdallah Rabah, Ren Hurley & Ben Powell Production Team: Josh Pitt, Matthew Cavanagh & Anna Milkovic Executive Producers: Derek Muller & Zoe Heron Additional video/photos supplied by Getty Images, Storyblocks Music from Epidemic Sound

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Παρόμοια

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